Gold Bull Opportunity

A bull market is associated with increasing investor confidence, and increased investing in anticipation of future price increases capital gains. And a bull market is also sometimes described as a bull run. A bullish market trend in the stock market often begins before the general economy shows clear signs of recovery. But bull markets can also happen as a result of an economic recovery, an economic boom, or investor psychology. Could we see another 1970s magnitude gold bull market again today? Sure!

Real interest rates haven’t been negative for over 20 years, when the last Great Gold Bull peaked. Negative real interest rate environments are the most potent fuel known for igniting out-of-control and spectacular gold bull markets.

So gold should form the core of a portfolio in times of depression and recession.
During the great gold bull market of the 1970s, the average monthly gold price increased from under $35 to over $675 an ounce... representing a 1,833% gain.

If today's gold bull market makes similar moves forward, gold prices could skyrocket well over $5,000 per ounce. With gold riding high peaks lately, it's hard to imagine that any investor could still remain in the dark about the potential of the yellow metal. But despite the record-breaking prices, the greater investing public just hasn't jumped on board the gold train. When you think of how much gold has risen since 2001—it's nearly quadrupled—it still doesn't seem to have excited an awful lot of people. There doesn't seem to be much public participation yet. There's no sense of a mania, at this juncture. One day, there probably will be, and then it will be really big. So some people who suggest that this is a bubble already, I think are probably mistaken.

So the danger lies in the government printing press. And true wisdom is to hold gold in the face of the devalued dollar. And as long as the world is restless with our increasing money supply, our trade deficits, our unfunded liabilities, and the complete inability of Congress to stop the government spending... the price of gold will continue to rise. Clearly, these problems won't end any time soon.

While gold has shown a healthy appreciation, the stock market still remained in the doldrums. Despite the run-up in bullion prices and precious metal shares, the bull market in gold has just begun. The analysis is mainly derived from the bullish fundamentals of the yellow metal as well as the bearish fundamentals of the U.S. Dollar. In addition to favorable fundamentals, there are sociological signs that the bull market in gold has just started.

Gold has been in a secular bear market and is now in a secular bull market. Market experts use the term secular to indicate a long time period. Not an entire century, but perhaps to represent events that occur "once in a lifetime" because they are so long. The price of gold over the last decade displays one major cyclical bear market from early 1996 to early 2000 and a major cyclical bull market from early 2001 to the present.

There continue to be very strong fundamentals driving the gold market. These fundamentals are driven by basic economics. There is a small finite supply of gold; while there is a very large and growing very significantly, supply of government bonds as governments internationally print money and create public debt on a scale never seen before in history. In the battle between the huge supply of government debt versus the small finite supply of gold, there can be only one winner for the foreseeable future.

Gold is unique among asset classes as it is the only asset class not dependent on the performance of auditors, management, corporations, financial institutions, banks, politicians and governments. Nor should physical gold be dependent on the performance of trustees, custodians or sub custodians. Gold does not depend on the performance and health of the wider economy and as importantly when you buy gold in its physical form there is no third party liability or credit risk. Gold has an intrinsic value in of itself that is not contingent on someone else’s or some entities performance or mere promise to pay. Thus, gold in its physical form is still the ultimate form of financial insurance. This is why every major central bank in the world still maintains a significant portion of their reserves in gold bullion and many, such as the Chinese, are now increasing their gold bullion reserves.

Most ordinaly people have difficulty understanding why gold is the investment opportunity of a life time. There is actually huge physical demand for gold as opposed to paper demand. A high demand for gold coins, gold bars, and it is getting increasingly difficult to deliver it, (for example the US mint) is no longer selling the american eagle gold coins, simply because they ran out of gold.

All the above fundamentals and factors are indicators that there is a large price spike on the horizon for gold. This is leading to what is clearly a real bull market in gold - and a bear market in the dollar and other currencies
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